Archive for October 5th, 2008

Economists for Obama

Oct 05, 2008 in Economy, Politics

Pretty bloody sensible, don’t you imagine?

The detailed responses are bad news for Mr McCain (the full data are available here). Eighty per cent of respondents and no fewer than 71% of those who do not cleave to either main party say Mr Obama has a better grasp of economics. Even among Republicans Mr Obama has the edge: 46% versus 23% say Mr Obama has the better grasp of the subject.

The McCain camp has, somewhat clumsily, announced its intentions: change the subject. We cannot talk about the economy, because that will hurt John McCain’s chances.

The Arizonan’s campaign is also eager to move the conversation away from the economy, an issue that strongly favors Obama and has helped him to a lead in many recent polls.

“We’re going to get a little tougher,” a senior Republican operative said, indicating that a fresh batch of television ads is coming. “We’ve got to question this guy’s associations. Very soon. There’s no question that we have to change the subject here,” said the operative, who was not authorized to discuss strategy and spoke on the condition of anonymity.

There is no “Country First,” with McCain. He may even know himself, deep down, that Barack Obama is better suited to deal with the country’s economic woes than he is, but still, he keeps trying to complete his vanity project. McCain still believes he is entitled to the Presidency. It’s not about you, and never has been. Look out for yourselves, look out for the country, and don’t waste a second worrying about John McCain’s disappointment that he didn’t get to be President.


If you remember, bin Laden did this to the Soviets too…

Oct 05, 2008 in Clueless Conservatives, War on Terra

Economic destabilization was always part of bin Laden’s plan, you’ll remember.

Last night on Bill Maher, the comedian Gary Shandling, of all people, synthesized the connection between our current economic crisis and 9/11 and the Iraq War in a way I have not heard:

On 9/11, Al Qaeda had no expectation of a traditional military victory against the United States. The point of the attack was economic — to draw the U.S. into expensive and protracted foreign wars that would deplete our resources and destabilize our government. By invading Iraq, George Bush became the happy idiot to assist Al Qaeda in this goal. Now, Sarah Palin and John McCain take the leaders of Al Qaeda at their word when they say Iraq is the major front in the war on terror.

Neither consider the possibility that Al Qaeda wants Iraq to be the major front because it furthers their goal of weakening the U.S. while inflicting minimal damage on their operations.

Seven years after 9/11, we are seeing Al Qaeda’s long-term goal being realized: the destabilization and economic collapse of the United States. Even as it’s happening, the people who supported it all along want to continue facilitating our own long-term disintegration by clinging to simplistic concepts of traditional military victory and defeat. In this sense, they are possibly the most myopic, least strategic thinkers in the history of this nation.

As Gary Shandling said, with this approach, our only hope of killing Osama Bin Laden is that he’ll laugh himself to death.

The happy idiot George W. Bush, talking of honor and victory…but what the excuses of those surrounding him, steeped in learning and history, the neocon dreamers?


A single albeit large tea leaf.

Oct 05, 2008 in Uncategorized points out how difficult it is for a trailing candidate to beat a rival that has 50% in October.

Using Gallup’s compendium of presidential trial heat polling since 1936, I counted 16 candidates who received 50% support or higher in an October Gallup poll. Hitting the 50% mark was a very good predictor of victory. Of those 16 candidates, just two failed to win the general election–Al Gore and Thomas Dewey.

With the invocation of William Ayers and the oft-predicted but never seen “Palin Bounce” it would appear that things are working out well for Obama. Nobody except the most die-hard Rezko-Ayers conspiracy theorists are paying any attention to the NYT story. The same can be said for Palin’s cocktail waitress act. She appeals only to the radical base who are eager to embrace whatever sloganeering, smirking ignoramus the party trots out in front of the teleprompter. One thing is for certain; the old playbook isn’t working anymore. We all knew that six months ago but don’t tell a Republican because as long as they keep waiting around for McCain to release that perfect Jeremiah Wright commercial that will once and for all destroy Obama the election is in the bag.